Gujarat Election Insights: Why the fight in north Gujarat will be a tough one for BJP

Supporters wear mask of PM Modi during an election campaign rally in support of BJP candidates, in Sanand. (PTI File Photo)Supporters wear mask of PM Modi during an election campaign rally in support of BJP candidates, in Sanand. (PTI File Photo)
Unlike south and central Gujarat, the story is different in north Gujarat, here the Congress fared better than the BJP in the 2012 assembly elections. Of the 32 seats in the region, the Congress won 17 seats, two more than the BJP.

Can the BJP fare better this time? An analysis of how north Gujarat voted in the 2012 assembly elections coupled with the new political forces in the state throw some insights in what to expect this time round.

2012 Assembly Results: Victory Margins In North Gujarat

north gujarat (1)

First, the Patel factor: Patels are a prominent community in north Gujarat and unlike south and central Gujarat, they have given Hardik Patel and his Patidar agitation unprecedented support. That’s a traditional BJP vote that can be expected to move away.

Next the Thakor vote. Thakors, who comprise of about half the OBC population in the state, are concentrated in north Gujarat. The rise of Alpesh Thakor and his joining hands with the Congress is again expected to influence polling in several north Gujarat districts like Sabarkantha, Banaskantha, Kheda, Mehsana, Anand, Patan, Gandhinagar and Aravalli.

How The Thakor’s Voted In North Gujarat In 2012

thakor

Third, the Dalit vote. Mehsana is Jignesh Mevani’s home ground – his family originates from Meu village in the district. Further, Mevani, is contesting as an independent from Vadgam, a reserved seat for scheduled castes (SCs), in Banaskantha district, and has open support from Congress. Both the Dalit vote and the OBC vote can be expected to move his way giving a further boost to the Congress in north Gujarat.

The fourth deciding factor will be tribal seats in north Gujarat. It almost entirely voted for the Congress in 2012. Though BJP has been going all out to woo them, this is unlikely that a shift will be able to swing the vote their way.

Finally, unlike 2012, in 2017 there is no Gujarat Parivartan Party (GPP) to split the votes.

What does this translate to? Expect a prickly battle, but chances are that new alliances may help the Congress strengthen its presence here.
[“Source-timesofindia”]

BJP siege throws life out of gear in city

Workers throng Secretariat seeking Thomas Chandy’s resignation

The BJP’s siege of the Secretariat from 6 a.m. to 2 p.m. on Monday seeking the resignation of Transport Minister Thomas Chandy had several shades — for the common man, it meant a harrowing commuting time while for the roadside vendors, such a huge gathering meant good business.

As traffic through the arterial road was hit from early morning, students, office-goers, and others had a tough time. The spin-off effect of the siege was felt elsewhere too in the city. Many junctions and corridors witnessed snarls on the first working day of the week.

As the workers squatted in front of the North, South and YMCA gate of the Secretariat, its employees and the Ministers had a tough time reaching the Cantonment gate to enter Secretariat. “We had to walk all the way from Palayam to the Secretariat”, said a person from Kottarakara. Although the BJP made arrangements to provide food for the party cadres participating in the stir, street vendors made use of the opportunity. Lottery, ice cream and peanuts were in high demand. “A crowd is a good thing,” said Jose Prakash whose peanuts had great demand. For the lottery agents, it was a mixed bag. “BJP workers do not buy much tickets. LDF and UDF protests are much better,” said lottery agent V.S. Rajan.

Inaugurating the siege, BJP State president Kummanam Rajasekharan said Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan should show the courage to take back the land acquired by Mr. Chandy in violation of Kerala Land Reforms Act and redistribute it to the farmers.

BJP’s national council member P.K. Krishnadas, district president Velliyamkulam Parameswaran, O. Rajagopal, MLA, State general secretaries Sobha Surendran and A.N. Radhakrishnan spoke. Traffic was restored around 2.30 p.m.

Source:-The hindu

Chandrababu Naidu Hits Out At Ally BJP Over Andhra Pradesh Special Status

Chandrababu Naidu Hits Out At Ally BJP Over Andhra Pradesh Special Status

Naidu castigated the BJP over the manner in which the issue was handled in the Lok Sabha

VIJAYAWADA:  Hours after meeting Prime Minister Narendra Modi and extracting an “assurance” over special category state status to Andhra Pradesh, Chief Minister N Chandrababu Naidu tonight castigated the BJP over the manner in which it referred a private member’s bill on the issue to Lok Sabha Speaker to rule if it was a money bill or not.

“Whom are they trying to cheat? You want to cheat the common people?” Mr Naidu angrily questioned at a press conference upon his return from the national capital.

“Why did you agree to a special discussion (on special status issue) when a private member’s bill (moved by Congress member KVP Ramachandra Rao) has been tabled in Rajya Sabha? Now you have referred it to the Lok Sabha Speaker to determine whether or not it is a Money Bill. They are trying to dilute the issue by raising technicalities,” the Telugu Desam Party president said, lashing out at his alliance partner.

“The Congress has a different agenda, so it is politicising the (special status) issue. Whether it is a Money Bill or not is a different issue. It’s not correct to stifle us between the two (Congress and BJP). What we want is special status,” the chief minister asserted.

He also found fault with his party MP and Union MoS for Science and Technology Y S Chowdary for thumping the desks in Rajya Sabha, along with other Union Ministers, when the Deputy Chairman announced referring of the private member’s Bill to Lok Sabha Speaker in the morning.

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“What he has done is not correct,” he remarked.

(This story has not been edited by NDTV staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

[“source-ndtv”]

Tejaswi Yadav, Rabri Devi assault Bihar BJP Leaders Over Returning gifts

Tejaswi Yadav, Rabri Devi Attack Bihar BJP Leaders Over Returning Gifts

Bihar Deputy chief Minister Tejaswi Yadav stated the BJP leaders must no longer have taken the onesthings in the first area to keep away from a scenario wherein they had to go back them. (record image)
PATNA: Bihar Deputy chief Minister Tejaswi Yadav and his mom senior RJD chief Rabri Devi these dayslashed out at BJP chief Sushil Kumar Modi and other legislators of the birthday celebration for his or her“belated circulateto return items given via the education department.

the 2 RJD leaders requested the BJP leaders to provide an explanation for why they took those items in the event that they deemed it as waste of public cash.

Slamming Mr Modi and other BJP legislators, Mr Yadav said they have to not have taken those thingswithin the first vicinity to avoid a state of affairs wherein they needed to return them.

Chiding the BJP lawmakers of gambling politics over gifts, Mr Yadav said Mr Modi and others had no qualms in accepting presents once they have been in strength for which they owed an explanation to the human beings.

“The BJP legislators, including (Sushil Kumar) Modi, had acquired presents for the duration of the erstwhile RJD rule too. They should return those gifts as well and those obtained all through the NDA regime over 8 years,” Ms Rabri Devi informed reporters within the legislative council precincts.